How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: 2 at 90% · first close Jan 1, 2028 · $191.5K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the total number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom between market creation and the end of 2027. Each market corresponds to a specific count of unique Prime Ministers serving during this timeframe.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific discrete count of unique Prime Ministers. Because the final outcome resolves to the total number of unique individuals who hold the office in the defined timeframe, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the total number of unique individuals officially holding the office of UK Prime Minister between market creation and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET matches that market's specified number; otherwise, it resolves No. To count, an individual must be officially appointed by the UK Monarch and serve within the timeframe. Individuals appointed multiple times count only once, Keir Starmer counts as one, and interim or caretaker Prime Ministers do not count. Resolution is determined by official UK Government information or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution end date: — December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of the United Kingdom, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 90% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| 3 | 11% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| 4+ | — | — | Low | High |