EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →
Markets
2,356 live Polymarket markets in 753 eventsHide Low tradability753 cards · 2,356 markets
- LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4¢−1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–5.5¢ - MedGotcha
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions6.5¢−2¢ 7d7 daysRange 6.5–8.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2.1¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.95–2.7¢ - LowGotcha
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks97.35¢+0.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 96.95–98.1¢ - MedGotcha
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver6¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–6¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Fed rate cut by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 2026 Meeting · 7 daysRange 2–3% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.05¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.85–1.6¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
F1 Constructors' Champion
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 14 OUTCOMES
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day96%±0Avengers: Doomsday4%±0Dune: Messiah<1%±0Wicked: For Good<1%±0Wuthering Heights<1%±0+9 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Change in points, 24hView event →2 · 7 daysFlat at 90% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.7¢−0.8¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.7–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Change in points, 24hView event →Nicolás Maduro · 7 daysRange 20–22% - LowGotcha
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks33.5¢+3¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 30.5–34.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jon Ossoff (D) · 7 daysFlat at 96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-15 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bobby Pulido (D) · 7 daysRange 81–83% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brian Fitzpatrick (R) · 7 daysFlat at 63% - MedGotcha
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording1.15¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.85–1.25¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2.1¢−2.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.75–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kathy Castor (D) · 7 daysRange 67–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
AR-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Steve Womack (R) · Since Oct 18Range 94–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MI-10 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Christina Hines (D) · 7 daysRange 65–66% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Timberwolves vs. Heat
+2 more outcomesView event → - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 12 PTS
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver64.5¢+14¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NO CLEAR CATALYSTNo headline in the hours around the move explains it.5 headlines checked - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) · 7 daysRange 48–52% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OH-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →David Joyce (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks58¢+1.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 56–58¢ - LowGotcha
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMTiming27.5¢−2¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 27.05–30.1¢ - MedGotcha
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions7.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 7.5–8.5¢ - MedGotcha
Is Earth flat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording0.5¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.5–0.75¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Murphy (R) · 7 daysRange 81–85% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ty Masterson (R) · 7 daysRange 75–76% - LowGotcha
Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks25.5¢+0.5¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 25–26.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
HI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jill Tokuda (D) · Since 00:56 UTCRange 94–96% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver5¢+0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks6.5¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.3–6.8¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-08 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver5.65¢+1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 3–5.75¢ - MedGotcha
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions5.3¢−1.55¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.75–7.05¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-17 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Cait Conley (D) · 7 daysRange 59–61% - MedGotcha
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions3.95¢+0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.45–5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-15 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming4¢+0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–4.8¢ - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Hawks vs. Magic
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tom Suozzi (D) · 7 daysRange 87–90% - LowGotcha
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks3.1¢−1.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.1–4.75¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OR-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.55¢−1.95¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–5.5¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Change in points, 24hView event →3 · 7 daysFlat at <1%