Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
3.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.5%
$44.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has clearly defined resolution criteria tied to an exact, objective data source. Resolution relies exclusively on the one-minute candle low prices for the HYPE/USDT futures pair on Binance before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The rules explicitly exclude spot markets, alternate trading pairs, and data from other exchanges, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or conflicting price feeds.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPE/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance HYPE/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Hyperliquid (HYPE) drops to $30.00 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for HYPE/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $30 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Price action before market creation is disregarded. The market resolves to No if no qualifying 1-minute candle meets or falls below the $30 threshold within the specified period. Binance serves as the sole resolution source via its HYPE/USDT futures 1-minute candle chart data; prices from spot markets, other pairs, or other exchanges are excluded.
Key dates
- Market Expiration: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the specified year
Resolution source
Binance
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