Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
10.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 10.5%
$890.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify official UEFA information as the primary source to identify the tournament champion. The market includes explicit conditions for early resolution to No if Real Madrid is eliminated from contention prior to the final, and sets a clear hard deadline of June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET to resolve to Other if the season is cancelled or postponed without a declared winner. Resolution criteria are standard and unambiguous.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Real Madrid will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Real Madrid wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Real Madrid to win per UEFA Champions League rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. The primary resolution source is official information from the UEFA Champions League, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Cancellation and postponement deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this date, or has no winner declared by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA Champions League, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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