Presidential Election Winner 2028
54 live outcomes · highest priced: JD Vance at 20% · first close Nov 7, 2028 · $717.2M total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will win the 2028 US Presidential Election. Each market corresponds to a specific candidate and resolves based on the official consensus of designated news outlets or the person inaugurated as president.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains individual candidate markets. Because the rules state that the market resolves to the person who wins the election (or is inaugurated), at most one candidate's market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A candidate's market resolves Yes if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for that candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same individual by the inauguration date, the market resolves based on who is actually inaugurated. Candidates who are not declared the winner or inaugurated will resolve No.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place.
- Inauguration Date: — Fallback resolution deadline if all three media sources have not called the race for the same candidate.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (fallback: presidential inauguration)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 20% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 13% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Jon Ossoff | 10% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Gavin Newsom | 9% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Marco Rubio | 8% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Kamala Harris | 4% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Josh Shapiro | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Pete Buttigieg | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ron DeSantis | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Andy Beshear | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tucker Carlson | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| James Talarico | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Donald Trump | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Mark Kelly | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Raphael Warnock | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Wes Moore | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ro Khanna | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Thomas Massie | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| JB Pritzker | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ted Cruz | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Rahm Emanuel | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ivanka Trump | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Jamie Dimon | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Gretchen Whitmer | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Glenn Youngkin | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Greg Abbott | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Elon Musk | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Michelle Obama | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tom Cotton | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Stephen Smith | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Nikki Haley | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Tim Walz | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| LeBron James | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Kim Kardashian | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Zohran Mamdani | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Eric Trump | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Pete Hegseth | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Jalen Brunson | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Abigail Spanberger | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Hakeem Jeffries | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Elissa Slotkin | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Adam Schiff | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Josh Stein | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Alex Padilla | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Candace Owens | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Tim Scott | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Mike Johnson | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Doug Burgum | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| John N. Kennedy | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Rick Scott | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |