Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Current price
19.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 19.5%
$719.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on official NBA determination of the 2026-27 champion, with credible reporting as an allowable fallback. Position holders should note early resolution mechanics, as the market can resolve to negative as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated. Additionally, if the season is delayed past June 30, 2027, or cancelled without a declared champion by that time, the rules specify resolution to a separate non-binary outcome rather than a standard negative resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Oklahoma City Thunder will win the NBA championship for the 2026-27 season.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Oklahoma City Thunder is determined as the NBA champion for the 2026-27 season. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if the team does not win, or if it becomes impossible for them to be named champion, such as upon elimination. The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed past June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared by that time. Resolution is decided using official information from the NBA, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement and declaration cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if postponed past this deadline or if no champion is declared by then
Resolution source
Official information from the NBA or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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