EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Change in points, 24hView event →
3 · 7 daysFlat at <1%
Markets
2,356 live Polymarket markets in 753 eventsHide Low tradability753 cards · 2,356 markets
- LowGotcha
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.75¢+0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.65–2.75¢ - LowGotcha
Kings vs. Clippers
No resolution risks flagged4 checks37.5¢−1¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 37.5–38.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-16 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mike Kelly (R) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MD-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Andy Harris (R) · 7 daysRange 85–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig - More Markets
Change in points, 24hView event →Real Madrid CF (-1.5) · Since 00:56 UTCRange 57–60% - LowGotcha
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.4¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.95–5¢ - EVENT · 22 OUTCOMES
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins79%±0Bernadette Wilson22%±0David Bronson<1%±0Treg Taylor<1%±0Click Bishop<1%±0+17 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver28.5¢+6¢ 7d7 daysRange 22.5–31.5¢ - MedGotcha
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions5.45¢+0.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–6.7¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CA-23 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jay Obernolte (R) · 7 daysRange 94–98% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Deb Haaland (D) · 7 daysRange 91–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CA-06 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks4¢+0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–4.1¢ - EVENT · 10 OUTCOMES
UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion
+5 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bill Hagerty (R) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - MedGotcha
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions3.55¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–3.7¢ - LowGotcha
Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks31.5¢−3¢ 7d7 daysRange 30.5–34.5¢ - EVENT · 10 OUTCOMES
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
+5 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
IPOs before 2027?
Change in points, 24hView event → - MedGotcha
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions2.35¢+0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.25–2.45¢ - LowGotcha
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks8.5¢±0¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Flat at 8.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Change in points, 24hView event →$1B · 7 daysRange 7–13% - MedGotcha
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMExceptionsResolver3.05¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 3.05¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31, 2028 · 7 daysFlat at 26% - LowGotcha
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver2.25¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.95–2.7¢ - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NM-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Gabe Vasquez (D) · 7 daysRange 92–93% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate and Governor Combo
Change in points, 24hView event →Dems sweep · Since Oct 14Range 47–53% - LowGotcha
Mavericks vs. Rockets
No resolution risks flagged4 checks23.5¢−2¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 23.5–25.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks5¢−3.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–8.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver26¢+2¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 24–27.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MT-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Aaron Flint (R) · 7 daysRange 66–71% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Sand 6-9% · Since Oct 18Flat at 22% - LowGotcha
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver92.45¢−0.45¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 92.45–92.9¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mike McGuire (D) · Since Oct 16Range 93–95% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.65–5.9¢ - MedGotcha
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TN-04 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Scott DesJarlais (R) · 7 daysRange 94–99% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TN-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Matt Van Epps (R) · 7 daysRange 96–97% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.8¢−2.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–7¢ - HighGotcha
KOSPI all-time high before 2028?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMWordingExceptionsResolver27.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 27.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions27¢+2.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 24–33¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WI-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Scott Fitzgerald (R) · 7 daysRange 94–98% - MedGotcha
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverExceptions82.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 82.5¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Montana Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kurt Alme (R) · 7 daysRange 92–94% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the ID-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.6¢+0.95¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.35–5.35¢