Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Current price
5.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 5.5%
$813.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome is clearly defined as the Boston Celtics winning the 2026-27 NBA championship based on official NBA information, with reporting consensus as a secondary check. Market participants should note that the market can resolve to No early if the team is mathematically or competitively eliminated prior to the Finals. Additionally, if the season is delayed past June 30, 2027, or no champion is crowned by that deadline, the market resolves to Other rather than waiting for a later conclusion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Boston Celtics will win the 2026-27 NBA championship. Unusually, if multiple teams are declared winners, resolution favors whichever team's listed name comes first alphabetically, and the market resolves to Other if the championship is not determined by June 30, 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Boston Celtics are determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. If multiple teams are declared champions, resolution favors the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if the Celtics do not win, including if they are eliminated or it becomes impossible for them to win under NBA rules. The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed past June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that deadline. Resolution is determined by official information from the NBA or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement and Champion Declaration Deadline: — Market resolves to Other if cancelled, postponed past this deadline, or if no champion is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Official information from the NBA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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