Next French Presidential Election
42 live outcomes · highest priced: Marine Le Pen at 47% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Apr 19, 2027 · $153.3M total volume
About this event
This event covers the outcome of the next French presidential election, expected around April 2027 or held earlier. Markets track individual candidates and resolve based on which contender wins the presidency, including any potential second-round runoff.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of one market per candidate. Because the election selects a single winner of the French presidency, at most one candidate's market can resolve Yes, while all other candidate markets resolve No.
How it resolves
A candidate's market resolves Yes if they win the next French presidential election, whether in the first round (securing over 50% of the vote) or in a second-round runoff. It resolves No if another candidate wins. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with the official results from the French Ministry of the Interior serving as the definitive source if ambiguity arises. If election results are not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Expected election period: — The election is expected to take place around April 2027, though markets apply if held earlier.
- Resolution deadline: — 11:59 PM ET; if results are not known by this time, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results reported by the French Government (Ministry of the Interior)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·