Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
6.05¢
−0.9¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6.05%
$2M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome relies on official information from the NFL to confirm the winner of the 2027 championship game. The rules include an early resolution provision that allows the market to resolve to No as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from contention or knocked out of the playoffs. Additionally, if the championship game is postponed beyond March 31, 2027, or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Jacksonville Jaguars will win the 2027 NFL league championship. It includes an explicit provision to resolve to "Other" if the championship game is delayed past late March 2027 or cancelled.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for the Jaguars to win the championship under NFL rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is determined using official information from the NFL, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement cutoff date: — If the championship game is postponed after this date or no winner is declared by then, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from NFL, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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