Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
15.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 15.5%
$792.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves clearly based on whether Paris Saint-Germain wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League title. The outcome is determined primarily by official UEFA information, with credible reporting as a secondary source. Participants should note an early resolution provision that triggers a No resolution as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the tournament. Additionally, if the tournament is cancelled or not concluded by June 19, 2027, the market resolves to Other rather than Yes or No.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Paris Saint-Germain will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Paris Saint-Germain wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Paris Saint-Germain to win per UEFA Champions League rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Official information from the UEFA Champions League determines the outcome, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution Cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this time or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
UEFA Champions League official information or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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