Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
4.4¢
+0.45¢ · 24h
Implied probability 4.4%
$1.9M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria clearly designate the winner of the 2027 NFL championship game as the deciding factor, referencing official NFL information as the primary source. Participants should note the early resolution provision, which allows the market to resolve to No as soon as the team is officially eliminated from championship contention, rather than waiting for the final game to conclude. Additionally, the market resolves to Other if the game is cancelled or delayed past March 31, 2027.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Chicago Bears will win the 2027 NFL league championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Chicago Bears to win the championship under NFL rules, including elimination from playoff contention. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared by that date. Official information from the NFL decides the outcome, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Championship resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the game is cancelled, postponed past this date, or has no winner declared.
Resolution source
NFL or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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