Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
23.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 23.5%
$1.5M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on whether Barcelona wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League tournament. The outcome relies directly on official information from UEFA as the governing body, with credible reporting as a secondary backup. Clear rules govern early resolution to a negative outcome as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from contention, and a specific cutoff date of June 19, 2027, applies if the season is delayed or cancelled.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether FC Barcelona will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Barcelona wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes mathematically or structurally impossible for Barcelona to win under tournament rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Resolution is determined by official information from the UEFA Champions League, or alternatively by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution Cutoff: — Deadline after which postponement, cancellation, or absence of a declared winner results in an Other resolution.
Resolution source
UEFA Champions League
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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