Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
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The outcome is tied directly to the official Best Picture winner declared by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, verified via official announcements and the ceremony broadcast. The market contains an early resolution rule: if the film fails to secure an official nomination when nominations are released in early 2027, the market will settle to No immediately rather than waiting for the ceremony. Additionally, any tie among winners is decided by alphabetical order of the title, and failure to announce a winner by June 30, 2027, results in resolution to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
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Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
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Market explained
This market measures whether the film The Odyssey will win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. An unusual rule specifies that in the event of a tie, resolution favors whichever tied film comes first alphabetically.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if The Odyssey wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. In the case of a tie, the market resolves in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. The market resolves immediately to No if the film is not officially nominated for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, or to No if another film wins. The market resolves to Other if no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including their website and the live ceremony broadcast, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Nominations announcement: — Nominations are scheduled to be announced; unnominated films resolve to No immediately.
- Awards ceremony: — The 99th Academy Awards ceremony is scheduled to take place.
- Resolution fallback deadline: — The market resolves to Other if no winner is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) / Academy Awards official information and credible reporting consensus
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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