Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
13.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 13.5%
$679.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on whether Arsenal wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League title, relying on official UEFA information as the primary authority. Participants should note the early resolution clause: the market will resolve to 'No' as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for Arsenal to win the tournament, such as following an elimination. Additionally, if the competition is cancelled or no champion is crowned by June 19, 2027, the market resolves to 'Other' rather than standard cancellation or voiding.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Arsenal will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market features an Other resolution outcome if the season is cancelled, postponed past a specified cutoff date, or concludes without a declared winner.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Arsenal to win under UEFA Champions League rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the UEFA Champions League decides the outcome, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date, or has no declared winner.
Resolution source
UEFA Champions League
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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