Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Current price
9.25¢
−0.6¢ · 24h
Implied probability 9.25%
$6M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules provide a clear and objective resolution framework. The market specifies three major named news organizations—Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC—and requires all three to reach a consensus call on the race winner. A clear fallback is included in case all three outlets do not agree, resolving strictly based on who is inaugurated on January 20, 2029. There is minimal room for subjective interpretation or surprise.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jon Ossoff will win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Jon Ossoff wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. The Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC determine the outcome once all three call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Key dates
- Election date: — The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place.
- Inauguration date: — Fallback resolution deadline based on who is inaugurated if media calls have not aligned.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.