Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Current price
22.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 22.5%
$777.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on whether the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026-27 NBA championship, primarily utilizing official NBA information or a consensus of credible reporting. The market features early resolution, settling to "No" immediately once the team is eliminated or it becomes impossible for them to win. Additionally, if the season is disrupted, cancelled, or postponed such that no champion is determined before June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" rather than waiting for a delayed conclusion. An unusual clause also specifies that if multiple winners are declared, alphabetical order determines the outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the San Antonio Spurs will win the NBA championship for the 2026-27 season. It includes a tiebreaker rule where multiple declared winners resolve in favor of whichever team comes first alphabetically.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the San Antonio Spurs are determined as the NBA champion for the 2026-27 season. If multiple teams are declared winners, resolution favors the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if the team is not the champion, or if it becomes impossible for them to win per NBA rules, such as through elimination. The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion is not declared by that deadline. Resolution is based on official information from the NBA or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Champion declaration deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed beyond this time, or if no champion is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from the NBA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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