Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
13.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 13.5%
$563.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League, with primary reliance on official UEFA determinations. The criteria are straightforward with minimal ambiguity. Participants should note the early resolution provision: if Bayern Munich is mathematically eliminated prior to the final, the market can resolve to No immediately rather than waiting for the tournament to conclude. Additionally, if the tournament is cancelled or not completed by June 19, 2027, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bayern Munich will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Bayern Munich wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Bayern Munich to win the championship under the tournament rules, such as by being eliminated during the competition. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Official information from the UEFA Champions League serves as the primary source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season completion cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if the tournament is postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
UEFA Champions League official information, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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