Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
53 live outcomes · highest priced: Gavin Newsom at 17% (+2 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $1.3B total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will become the Democratic Party's nominee for President of the United States in the 2028 election, with individual markets corresponding to various potential candidates.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains individual candidate markets representing potential nominees. The supplied rules do not explicitly state whether at most one outcome can resolve Yes, though each market asks if that specific candidate wins and accepts the nomination.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. If the Democratic nominee is replaced before election day, it will not change the market resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
- Nomination year: — Markets evaluate who wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | 17% | ▲ 2 | Low | High | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 15% | ▼ 2 | Low | High | |
| Jon Ossoff | 14% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Kamala Harris | 7% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Josh Shapiro | 6% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Pete Buttigieg | 5% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Andy Beshear | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| James Talarico | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Mark Kelly | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Raphael Warnock | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Wes Moore | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Bernie Sanders | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Rahm Emanuel | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ro Khanna | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| J.B. Pritzker | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Chelsea Clinton | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Cory Booker | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Jon Stewart | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Chris Murphy | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ruben Gallego | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Chris Van Hollen | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Mark Cuban | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Michelle Obama | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Roy Cooper | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Hunter Biden | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Stephen A. Smith | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Gina Raimondo | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Zohran Mamdani | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Jared Polis | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Barack Obama | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Hillary Clinton | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Phil Murphy | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| LeBron James | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Jasmine Crockett | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Abigail Spanberger | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Hakeem Jeffries | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Elissa Slotkin | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Josh Stein | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Mitch Landrieu | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tim Walz | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| John Fetterman | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Liz Cheney | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| George Clooney | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| MrBeast | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Oprah Winfrey | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Andrew Yang | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Beto O’Rourke | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Kim Kardashian | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Graham Platner | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Adam Schiff | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Alex Padilla | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |