Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
15.05¢
+0.95¢ · 24h
Implied probability 15.05%
$13.4M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are straightforward, requiring the candidate to officially win and accept the Democratic presidential nomination for 2028. The resolution source relies on official Democratic Party documentation and announcements, leaving minimal room for decider interpretation. The rules also clarify that any subsequent nominee replacement occurring before election day will not retroactively alter the resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jon Ossoff secures and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president. Notably, any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not alter the resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Jon Ossoff wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the Democratic nominee prior to election day will not change the resolution outcome. The outcome is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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