EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Florida Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →
Byron Donalds (R) · 7 daysRange 79–81%
Markets
876 live Polymarket markets in 464 events- EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CO-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jeff Hurd (R) · 7 daysRange 70–73% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mary Peltola · 7 daysRange 73–74% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Abbott (R) · 7 daysRange 73–80% - LowGotcha
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver20¢+3¢ 7d7 daysRange 12.5–25.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Katie Hobbs (D) · 7 daysRange 87–94% - MedGotcha
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverExceptions95.5¢+16¢ 7d7 daysRange 79.5–95.5¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig
Change in points, 24hView event →Real Madrid CF · Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 78% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Olivia Chow · 7 daysRange 66–77% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ashley Hinson (R) · 7 daysRange 57–59% - LowGotcha
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks97.3¢+0.85¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 96.45–98.1¢ - LowGotcha
LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
No resolution risks flagged4 checks12.5¢−1¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 12.5–13.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WA-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Michael Baumgartner (R) · 7 daysRange 82–89% - MedGotcha
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 4 MEDIUMResolverTimingWording+19¢−4.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 5.5–14.5¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Premier of British Columbia
Change in points, 24hView event →Lorne Doerkson · 7 daysRange 75–81% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New York Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kathy Hochul (D) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - LowGotcha
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks24.5¢−6.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 24–31¢ - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
What price will Solana hit in October?
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-13 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brad Knott (R) · Since Oct 17Range 86–89% - MedGotcha
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions1.15¢−0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.45–1.4¢ - MedGotcha
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverWording5.15¢−19.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.35–25.35¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mike Rounds (R) · 7 daysRange 92–95% - LowGotcha
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions0.15¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.15–0.45¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Iotova 30-40% · Since 00:56 UTCRange 7–10% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jocelyn Benson (D) · 7 daysRange 93–96% - LowGotcha
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.85¢−3.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.8–7.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Darline Graham Nordone (R) · 7 daysRange 85–86% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Bank of England decision in November?
Change in points, 24hView event →No change · Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 7% - MedGotcha
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverWording0.55¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.55–1.55¢ - LowGotcha
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.3¢−0.75¢ 7d7 daysRange 1–3.85¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Iliana Iotova · 7 daysRange 96–98% - MedGotcha
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverWording0.9¢−0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.75–1.45¢ - MedGotcha
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions8¢+0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 6.5–10¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MO-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ann Wagner (R) · 7 daysRange 74–78% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Peggy Flanagan (D) · 7 daysRange 87–88% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Rob Sand (D) · 7 daysRange 88–91% - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Jazz vs. Grizzlies
+3 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Bulls vs. Raptors
No resolution risks flagged4 checks22.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 22.5¢ - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Bucks vs. Wizards
+3 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver0.45¢−4.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.35–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →John McGuire (R) · 7 daysRange 68–77% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →David Crowley (D) · 7 daysRange 81–82% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Nick LaLota (R) · Since Oct 14Range 85–86% - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.9¢+0.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.7–2.9¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Jackson 3-6% · Since Oct 17Range 27–33% - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Thunder vs. Spurs
+3 more outcomesView event →