Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
Current price
49.5¢
Implied probability 49.5%
$19.1 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly define the point-spread condition, specifying that the market resolves to Spurs if they win by 3 or more points and to Thunder otherwise. Specific provisions cover postponed and canceled games without leaving ambiguity, and standard official match results leave virtually no room for subjective judgment or surprise.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the San Antonio Spurs will cover a 2.5-point spread against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their scheduled NBA game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Spurs if the Spurs win the game by 3 or more points. The market resolves to Thunder if the Spurs do not win by 3 or more points, including if the Thunder win or if the game ends in a tie. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The rules do not specify an explicit resolving authority.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — The NBA game between the Spurs and Thunder is scheduled for this time.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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