Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?
Current price
97.2¢
Implied probability 97.2%
$7.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria. Outcome determination relies strictly on the close price of a specific one-minute candle (12:00 PM ET on October 23) from the BTC/USDT pair on Binance. A specific URL and interface settings are supplied, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation, discretion, or timing ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin's price exceeds $76,000 at a specific minute on October 23. It resolves strictly using the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price on Binance, rather than prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on October 23 has a final Close price strictly higher than $76,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is at or below $76,000. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places provided by the source. The resolution is determined by Binance data for the BTC/USDT trading pair.
Key dates
- Measurement time: — 12:00 PM ET (noon) 1-minute candle close
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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