Bank of England decision in November?
3 live outcomes · highest priced: No change at 7% · first close Nov 5, 2026 · $368.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the monetary policy decision of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee for its November 2026 meeting. Individual markets measure the size and direction of any basis-point change to the official Bank Rate relative to its prior level.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of mutually exclusive brackets covering potential interest rate changes (such as rate cuts of specific sizes, rate hikes, or no change). Based on the rounding rules and mutually exclusive rate outcomes, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on the official change in basis points to the Bank Rate announced from the November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting. If a rate change is not an exact match for listed brackets, specific rounding applies: changes under 25 bps round to 25 bps, while changes over 25 bps round to the nearest 25 bps (rounding away from zero if equidistant). If the rate uses a range, the upper bound is used. If the meeting is cancelled or postponed past the next scheduled meeting, the event resolves to 'No change'. Emergency rate adjustments outside the meeting are excluded.
Key dates
- MPC meeting and decision release: — Scheduled date for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting and statement release.
Resolution source
Official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 7% | — | Low | High | |
| 25 bps decrease | 1% | — | Low | High | |
| 50+ bps increase | <1% | — | Low | Med | |
| 50+ bps decrease | — | — | Not rated | Low | |
| 25 bps increase | — | — | Not rated | — |