Will Solana dip to $30 in October?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$14.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules are clearly defined with an objective threshold and a single named source. Resolution depends entirely on the low price recorded on Binance 1-minute candles for the SOL/USDT pair between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any candle touches or breaches $30, and to No otherwise. There is no decider discretion or ambiguity, though participants should note that price spikes or dips on other exchanges or trading pairs will not count.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL) reaches $30 or lower during October. It relies strictly on 1-minute candle data from Binance's SOL/USDT pair, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31 records a final Low price of $30 or lower. The market resolves to No if no such candle meets or falls below this threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely using Binance 1-minute candle data for the SOL/USDT pair; prices from other trading pairs, spot markets, or external exchanges are not considered.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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