Spread: Wizards (-3.5)
Current price
56¢
Implied probability 56%
$263 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules provide clear and objective criteria for a standard point spread outcome. The Wizards must win by at least 4 points to trigger resolution in their favor; any other outcome, including a tie or smaller margin of victory, resolves to the Bucks. Postponement and cancellation contingencies are explicitly defined, with postponed games remaining open until completion and complete cancellations resolving equally split. There is minimal ambiguity or room for decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wizards" if the Wizards win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Washington Wizards will defeat the Milwaukee Bucks by at least 4 points in their scheduled NBA game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Wizards if the Wizards win the game by 4 or more points. The market resolves to Bucks if the Wizards win by fewer than 4 points, lose the game, or if the game ends in a tie. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — Game scheduled for October 21 at 7:00 PM ET
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.