Will Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
Current price
13.5¢
Implied probability 13.5%
$30 total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, using official governing body statistics followed by a clear fallback hierarchy of data sources. However, participants should be aware of an unusual cancellation clause: if the match is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves to Yes rather than No or 50-50, which would treat a non-played game as a draw. In addition, if no data is available within 24 hours of the match ending, the market defaults to a 50-50 split or Draw outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the football match between Real Madrid CF and RB Leipzig ends in a draw within regular play plus stoppage time. Unusually, if the match is completely canceled without a make-up game, the market resolves to Yes.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. It resolves to No if the match ends with either team winning within regular play plus stoppage time. If postponed, the market stays open until completion. If no acceptable data exists within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, it resolves 50-50 or to Draw where applicable. Resolution is decided by the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, falling back to Flashscore after 2 hours, then Sofascore, then credible reporting.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date the match is scheduled to occur
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.