Will Solana reach $200 in October?
Current price
0.35¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.35%
$18.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly defined with an objective standard. Resolution relies on a single named exchange pair (Binance SOL/USDT) using a precise chart timeframe (1-minute candles) and a specific metric (High price). The time window is explicitly bounded in Eastern Time, and early resolution triggers immediately upon hitting the $200 threshold. No discretionary judgment or external exchange data is permitted.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana (SOL) reaches a price of $200 at any point during October. Resolution depends strictly on 1-minute candle high prices from Binance's SOL/USDT pair, excluding all other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the SOL/USDT pair records a final High price equal to or greater than $200 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $200 during this timeframe. Resolution is determined solely by Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data, with prices from other exchanges, pairs, or spot markets disregarded.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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