Will Solana reach $180 in October?
Current price
0.65¢
−0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.65%
$4.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has very clear and objective resolution criteria. It relies on a single, explicitly named source and pair—Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle high prices. The measurement window is precisely defined in Eastern Time from the first to the last minute of October. The rule includes standard early resolution to Yes as soon as any qualifying 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $180, and otherwise resolves to No at the end of the month. There is virtually no source discretion or ambiguity regarding which exchange or trading pair is tracked.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana (SOL/USDT) reaches a high price of $180 or more on Binance during October. Resolution relies strictly on Binance 1-minute candle data, excluding all other trading pairs or exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the SOL/USDT pair has a final High price of $180 or higher between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds that threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely using price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair with 1-minute chart settings, disregarding other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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