Spread: Wizards (-5.5)
Current price
47.5¢
Implied probability 47.5%
$605.4 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market rules clearly define how the spread outcome is calculated based on the final score, including overtime periods. Resolution criteria cover all standard point margins and explicitly address contingencies such as game postponement or complete cancellation with a 50-50 split. Official game scores for NBA matchups are universally tracked and indisputable, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game between Bucks and Wizards, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00PM ET: If Wizards wins by more than 5.5 points, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If Bucks loses by fewer than 5.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Washington Wizards will defeat the Milwaukee Bucks by more than 5.5 points in their scheduled NBA game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Wizards if the Wizards win the game by more than 5.5 points. The market resolves to Bucks if the Bucks win outright or lose by fewer than 5.5 points. The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. The final score includes any overtime periods played. The rules do not name a specific deciding source.
Key dates
- Scheduled game date: — Scheduled for 7:00 PM ET
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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