Will Solana dip to $20 in October?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$21.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules are explicit and objective. Resolution is determined strictly by 1-minute candle Low prices for the SOL/USDT pair on Binance within the exact Eastern Time window specified. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the price touches or breaches the $20 threshold, or to No after the month closes without reaching that level. Only Binance SOL/USDT data is used, eliminating conflicting exchange data.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) drops to $20 or lower during October. It relies strictly on Binance 1-minute candle data and disregards all other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $20 between October 1 at 00:00 AM ET and October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle on Binance reaches $20 or lower during that period. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle chart data for the SOL/USDT pair; prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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