EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →
Jon Ossoff (D) · 7 daysFlat at 96%
Markets
1,979 live Polymarket markets in 732 events- LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.7¢−0.8¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.7–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks34¢+3.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 30.5–34.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-15 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bobby Pulido (D) · 7 daysRange 81–83% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brian Fitzpatrick (R) · 7 daysFlat at 63% - MedGotcha
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording1.15¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.85–1.25¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.9¢−2.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.75–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kathy Castor (D) · 7 daysRange 67–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
AR-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Steve Womack (R) · Since Oct 18Range 94–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MI-10 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Christina Hines (D) · 7 daysRange 65–66% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Timberwolves vs. Heat
+2 more outcomesView event → - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 12 PTS
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver64.5¢+14¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NO CLEAR CATALYSTNo headline in the hours around the move explains it.5 headlines checked - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) · 7 daysRange 48–52% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OH-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →David Joyce (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks58¢+1.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 56–58¢ - MedGotcha
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions7.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 7.5–8.5¢ - MedGotcha
Is Earth flat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording0.5¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.5–0.75¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Murphy (R) · 7 daysRange 81–85% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ty Masterson (R) · 7 daysRange 75–76% - LowGotcha
Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks25.5¢+0.5¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 25–26.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
RI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Seth Magaziner (D) · Since Oct 14Range 92–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
HI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jill Tokuda (D) · Since 00:56 UTCRange 94–96% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver5¢+0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks6.6¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.3–6.8¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-08 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4.85¢+0.7¢ 7d7 daysRange 3–5.75¢ - MedGotcha
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions5.3¢−1.55¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.75–7.05¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-17 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Cait Conley (D) · 7 daysRange 59–61% - MedGotcha
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions3.95¢+0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.45–5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-15 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming4¢+0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–4.8¢ - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Hawks vs. Magic
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tom Suozzi (D) · 7 daysRange 87–90% - LowGotcha
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks3.1¢−1.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.1–4.75¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OR-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.55¢−1.95¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–5.5¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Change in points, 24hView event →3 · 7 daysFlat at <1% - LowGotcha
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.75¢+0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.65–2.75¢ - LowGotcha
Kings vs. Clippers
No resolution risks flagged4 checks37.5¢−1¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 37.5–38.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-16 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mike Kelly (R) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MD-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Andy Harris (R) · 7 daysRange 85–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig - More Markets
Change in points, 24hView event →Real Madrid CF (-1.5) · Since 00:56 UTCRange 57–60% - LowGotcha
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.4¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.95–5¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver28.5¢+6¢ 7d7 daysRange 22.5–31.5¢ - MedGotcha
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions5.45¢+0.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–6.7¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CA-23 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jay Obernolte (R) · 7 daysRange 94–98% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Deb Haaland (D) · 7 daysRange 91–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CA-06 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks4¢+0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–4.1¢