Spread: Magic (-3.5)
Current price
45.5¢
Implied probability 45.5%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria for the point spread are clearly defined, setting a specific winning margin of four or more points for the Magic and resolving to the Hawks for any other result. Although a specific data feed or official box score source is not explicitly named, the outcome of an NBA game is strictly objective and verifiable. Clear provisions are also provided in the event of game postponement or total cancellation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Magic" if the Magic win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Orlando Magic will cover a -3.5 point spread against the Atlanta Hawks in their scheduled NBA game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Magic if the Orlando Magic win the game by 4 or more points. The market resolves to Hawks if the Hawks win, if the Magic win by 3 or fewer points, or if the game ends in a tie. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game time: — The NBA game is scheduled to take place at 7:00 PM ET.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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