Spread: Magic (-2.5)
Current price
50.5¢
Implied probability 50.5%
$106.9 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the point spread conditions for both possible outcomes, confirming that overtime is included in the final score. Clear contingencies are established for game postponement and cancellation, leaving minimal room for conflicting interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game between Hawks and Magic, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00PM ET: If Magic wins by more than 2.5 points, the market will resolve to "Magic". If Hawks loses by fewer than 2.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome of the NBA game between the Atlanta Hawks and Orlando Magic scheduled for October 21.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Magic if the Magic win the game by more than 2.5 points based on the final score including any overtime periods. The market resolves to Hawks if the Hawks win outright or lose by fewer than 2.5 points. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game date: — Game scheduled for 7:00PM ET
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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