Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Current price
28.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 28.5%
$114K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria closely follow the market title, requiring an official statement from the company, its leadership, or legal representatives regarding a bankruptcy filing. A key element to watch is that the market relies on the evaluation of official communication channels or a consensus of credible news reporting rather than a single definitive public court docket or government registry. However, the event itself is clearly defined, and an explicit announcement satisfies the condition even if a formal court filing has not yet taken place.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CoreWeave announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents CoreWeave. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether CoreWeave announces an intention to file for bankruptcy or an actual bankruptcy filing of any variety by December 31, 2029.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if CoreWeave announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement alone suffices for Yes regardless of if or when an actual filing takes place. The announcement must be made through official or verified channels as a recorded or written statement by CoreWeave's CEO, legal representation, or other official representative, or established via a definitive consensus of credible reporting. Otherwise, the market resolves to No.
Key dates
- End date: — Announcement deadline at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official or verified CoreWeave channels, statements by CoreWeave representatives, or a definitive consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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