Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
Current price
3.1¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.1%
$630.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the exact metric, pair, and timeframe used to determine an all-time high. Resolution is based strictly on Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair between December 16, 2025 at 16:30 ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET compared to all prior historical candles on that same pair. A specific URL and chart configuration are provided, leaving no room for discretion or alternative index interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a new all-time high price by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data rather than aggregated market prices or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT between December 16, 2025 at 16:30 and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET records a final High price higher than any previous Binance 1-minute candle High price on any prior date. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle exceeds the prior historical high within this timeframe. Resolution is determined solely by Binance 1-minute candle data for the ETH/USDT pair.
Key dates
- Measurement start: — Evaluation window opens at 16:30
- Measurement end: — Evaluation window closes at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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