Timberwolves vs. Heat
Current price
49.5¢
Implied probability 49.5%
$994 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution based on the final score of the scheduled NBA game, including overtime. Postponement and cancellation scenarios are straightforwardly handled: the market stays open if postponed until completed, and resolves 50-50 if canceled without a make-up game. Although a specific data feed is not named, official NBA game outcomes are objective and leave virtually no room for dispute.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:30PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the winner of the NBA game between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Miami Heat scheduled for October 21.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves win the game based on the final score including overtime. The market resolves to "Heat" if the Heat win based on the final score including overtime. The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — Game scheduled for October 21 at 7:30PM ET
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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