PolymarketCloses · in 438 daysPart of Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...? →

Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?

Current price

20.5¢

±0¢ · 24h

Implied probability 20.5%
$325.9K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 20.5–21.5¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The rules provide thorough, unambiguous definitions for what constitutes an enacted statewide moratorium, including specific capacity thresholds, clear carve-outs for tax-only incentives or executive actions, and precise standards for voter-approved measures. Enactment dates rather than effective dates govern resolution, and subsequent legal challenges or repeals do not alter the outcome. Official state government records serve as the primary source, leaving minimal room for subjective judgment.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

Medium tradability

Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.

Book depth $28.2K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
20¢20.5¢21¢17:4601:4509:4317:41
20¢20.5¢21¢21.5¢22¢Oct 12Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19
10¢20¢30¢40¢Oct 1Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Oklahoma enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether Oklahoma enacts a statewide statutory or constitutional moratorium on new data centers (or those over 100 MW) by December 31, 2027.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Oklahoma enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a mandatory statewide moratorium on new data centers, or all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW, between market creation and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying measures must generally prohibit or suspend approvals, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operations by default. Executive orders, agency orders, local bans, mere discretionary authorizations, or suspensions limited only to tax incentives do not qualify. The market resolves to No if no such qualifying law or constitutional amendment is enacted by the deadline. Resolution is based on the enactment date rather than the effective date, and subsequent repeal or judicial invalidation does not reverse a Yes resolution. Official information from the Oklahoma state government serves as the primary resolution source, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.

Key dates

  • Cutoff date: — Deadline for Oklahoma to enact the qualifying moratorium by 11:59 PM ET.

Resolution source

Official information from the state government of Oklahoma, or a consensus of credible reporting

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