Spread: Heat (-1.5)
Current price
49¢
Implied probability 49%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolving the point spread based on the final official score including overtime. Postponement leaves the market open until the game concludes, and an outright cancellation resolves evenly at 50-50. Because the winning margins are mathematically unambiguous and cover all possible standard basketball outcomes, there is minimal room for dispute or surprising interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game between Timberwolves and Heat, scheduled for October 21 at 7:30PM ET: If Heat wins by more than 1.5 points, the market will resolve to "Heat". If Timberwolves loses by fewer than 1.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome of an NBA game between the Miami Heat and the Minnesota Timberwolves, resolving based on whether the Heat win by more than 1.5 points.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Heat if the Miami Heat win by more than 1.5 points. The market resolves to Timberwolves if the Minnesota Timberwolves win outright or lose by fewer than 1.5 points. Final scores include any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. If the game is canceled entirely, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game time: — Game scheduled for October 21 at 7:30PM ET
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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