EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →
Iotova 30-40% · Since 00:56 UTCRange 7–10%
Markets
1,979 live Polymarket markets in 732 events- LowGotcha
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions0.3¢−0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.15–0.45¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jocelyn Benson (D) · 7 daysRange 93–96% - LowGotcha
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.85¢−2.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.8–6.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Darline Graham Nordone (R) · 7 daysRange 84–86% - LowGotcha
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver6.3¢+1.75¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.35–6.35¢ - MedGotcha
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions2.1¢−1.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.05–4.65¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Bank of England decision in November?
Change in points, 24hView event →No change · Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 7% - LowGotcha
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.3¢−0.75¢ 7d7 daysRange 1–3.85¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Iliana Iotova · 7 daysRange 96–98% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MO-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ann Wagner (R) · 7 daysRange 74–78% - LowGotcha
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver31.5¢+2¢ 7d7 daysRange 27.5–33.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Peggy Flanagan (D) · 7 daysRange 87–88% - MedGotcha
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording26.5¢+1¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 25.5–26.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Rob Sand (D) · 7 daysRange 88–91% - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Jazz vs. Grizzlies
+3 more outcomesView event → - MedGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 13 PTS
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording38¢+6.5¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NEWS“Zelenskiy Slams Trump's Russia Diesel Deal as Ukraine Peace Talks Stall”econotimes.com · 16 Oct - LowGotcha
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks6.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 6.5¢ - LowGotcha
Bulls vs. Raptors
No resolution risks flagged4 checks22.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 22.5¢ - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Bucks vs. Wizards
+3 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions7.5¢+2¢ 7d7 daysRange 5.5–7.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Spain General Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →PP · 7 daysRange 85–87% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver0.45¢−4.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.35–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →David Crowley (D) · 7 daysRange 81–82% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Nick LaLota (R) · Since Oct 14Range 85–86% - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.95¢+1.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.7–2.95¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Jackson 3-6% · Since Oct 17Range 27–33% - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Thunder vs. Spurs
+3 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC
Change in points, 24hView event →Como 1907 · Since Oct 16Range 41–43% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31, 2029 · 7 daysRange 22–26% - EVENT · 43 OUTCOMES
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
+38 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OK-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Stephanie Bice (R) · Since Oct 17Range 87–89% - MedGotcha
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverWording6.5¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 5.5–6.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverExceptions4.25¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.25–4.35¢ - LowGotcha
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks0.45¢−0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.45–0.6¢ - LowGotcha
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks0.4¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.4–0.6¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
Change in points, 24hView event →25 bps increase · Since Oct 16Range 2–4% - LowGotcha
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.9¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.65–5.3¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.35¢−7.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.25–12.05¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Who will be arrested before 2027?
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 32–56% - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions30.75¢+15.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 14.95–37.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Javokhir Sindarov · 7 daysFlat at 74% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Elaine Luria (D) · 7 daysRange 87–91% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Roger Marshall (R) · 7 daysRange 63–64% - MedGotcha
Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions0.15¢−0.3¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 0.15–0.45¢