PolymarketCloses · in 1 dayPart of Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC →

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?

Current price

42.5¢

+1.5¢ · 24h

Implied probability 42.5%
$1K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 41–42.5¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The rules clearly specify that the market resolves based on the match scheduled for October 21, 2026, considering only regular play plus stoppage time (90 minutes plus injury time). Resolution relies on the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, backed by an explicit hierarchy of fallback data sources (Flashscore, then Sofascore, then consensus reporting) if official figures are delayed. Standard contingencies are explicitly handled: postponements keep the market open until completion, outright cancellations resolve to No, and later stat revisions after resolution are disregarded.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

High tradability

Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $91.7K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
41.5¢42¢42.5¢43¢43.5¢00:0101:2602:5104:16
40¢41¢42¢43¢Oct 16Oct 17Oct 18Oct 19
40¢41¢42¢43¢Oct 16Oct 17Oct 18Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If Como 1907 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether Como 1907 will win their match scheduled for October 21, 2026, considering only regular play plus stoppage time.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Como 1907 wins within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Como 1907 does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until it finishes. The market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw if applicable) if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the match ending. Resolution is determined by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting will be used. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded.

Key dates

  • Scheduled match date: — Date for the scheduled game.

Resolution source

Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting as fallbacks

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

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