Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Current price
0.15¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$68.1K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The market resolves to Yes if the Michigan Wolverines win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff national championship. A key mechanic is early resolution to No as soon as the team is mathematically or competitively eliminated from winning the title. In the unlikely event of shared co-champions, resolution relies on an alphabetical tiebreaker rather than a split. There is also an absolute cutoff date of February 8, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, after which an uncompleted season or unannounced winner triggers a resolution to Other instead of Yes or No. Official NCAA information serves as the primary decider, though backup reliance on a consensus of credible reporting introduces minor discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Michigan Wolverines will win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship. It includes a specific tiebreaker rule resolving alphabetically if multiple winners are declared.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Michigan Wolverines are determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market resolves in favor of the team whose name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if Michigan does not win, or as soon as it becomes impossible for them to be named national champion per NCAA rules (such as being eliminated). The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed beyond February 8, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that time. The resolution source is official information from the NCAA, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and Champion Declaration Cutoff: — If the event is cancelled, postponed past this time, or no champion is declared by this cutoff, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.