EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Who will be arrested before 2027?
+1 more outcomesView event →
Markets
1,632 live Polymarket markets in 577 events- LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.35¢−7.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.25–12.05¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Javokhir Sindarov · 7 daysFlat at 74% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Elaine Luria (D) · 7 daysRange 87–91% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Roger Marshall (R) · 7 daysRange 63–64% - LowGotcha
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks4.35¢−1.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.15–5.45¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.2¢+0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.7–2.95¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WI-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bryan Steil (R) · 7 daysRange 62–64% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-09 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Richard Hudson (R) · Since Oct 17Flat at 82% - LowGotcha
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver99¢+0.35¢ 7d7 daysRange 98.15–99.1¢ - LowGotcha
US recession by end of 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks6.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 6.5–8.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver25.5¢±0¢ since Oct 15Since Oct 15Flat at 25.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks59¢−2¢ 7d7 daysRange 52.5–61¢ - LowGotcha
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions3.55¢−0.8¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.1–5.3¢ - EVENT · 13 OUTCOMES
Bundesliga: 2027 Champion
+8 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks9.5¢+3¢ 7d7 daysRange 6.5–9.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tom Cotton (R) · 7 daysRange 94–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK
Change in points, 24hView event →Aston Villa FC · Since Oct 16Range 78–79% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam
Change in points, 24hView event →Real Betis Balompié · Since Oct 16Range 62–64% - LowGotcha
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.35¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.35–1.55¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
AR-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →French Hill (R) · 7 daysRange 82–85% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens
Change in points, 24hView event →Club Brugge KV · Since Oct 16Range 46–48% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NJ-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jeff Van Drew (R) · Since Oct 17Range 84–85% - LowGotcha
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks0.55¢−0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.55–0.7¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks9.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 9.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks4.2¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.1–4.75¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk
Change in points, 24hView event →FC Internazionale Milano · Since 00:56 UTCRange 82–83% - LowGotcha
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver14.4¢−0.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 13.55–15.15¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4¢−1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2.1¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.95–2.7¢ - LowGotcha
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks97.4¢+0.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 96.95–98.1¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.05¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.85–1.6¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
F1 Constructors' Champion
Change in points, 24hView event →Mercedes · 7 daysFlat at 99% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Change in points, 24hView event →2 · 7 daysFlat at 90% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Change in points, 24hView event →Spider-Man: Brand New Day · 7 daysFlat at 96% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.7¢−0.8¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.7–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks33¢+2.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 30.5–34.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jon Ossoff (D) · 7 daysFlat at 96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-15 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bobby Pulido (D) · 7 daysRange 81–83% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brian Fitzpatrick (R) · 7 daysFlat at 63% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2¢−2.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.75–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kathy Castor (D) · 7 daysRange 67–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
AR-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Steve Womack (R) · Since Oct 18Range 94–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MI-10 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Christina Hines (D) · 7 daysRange 65–66% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Timberwolves vs. Heat
+2 more outcomesView event →