Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Current price
0.85¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.85%
$868.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market relies on official information and standings published by Formula 1 to determine the winner of the Constructors' Championship. It includes an early resolution trigger resolving the market to No if Ferrari becomes mathematically eliminated from championship contention before the final race. Official F1 tiebreaking rules govern in the event of a tie on points, and the market specifies resolution to Other if the season is permanently canceled or not completed by March 31, 2027.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ferrari will win the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' Championship. It includes provisions for early resolution if Ferrari is mathematically eliminated from contention, and can resolve to an alternate outcome if the season is canceled or delayed.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ferrari wins the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, including via official F1 tiebreak procedures if there is a tie. The market resolves to No if another team wins the championship, or as soon as Ferrari is mathematically eliminated from contention based on F1 rules. The market resolves to Other if the season is permanently canceled or is not completed by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Official information from F1 decides the outcome upon the conclusion of the final scheduled race.
Key dates
- Season completion deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is permanently canceled or not completed by this deadline.
Resolution source
F1
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