Will SC Freiburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Current price
0.8¢
−0.6¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.8%
$66.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on official Bundesliga information regarding the champion of the 2026-27 season. Market participants should note an early resolution clause: the market can resolve to No before the season ends if the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the title. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, or fails to declare a winner by that date, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether SC Freiburg will win the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship. The market has an 'Other' resolution for specific scenarios like cancellation or lack of a declared winner.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if SC Freiburg is officially declared the champion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. The market resolves No if SC Freiburg does not win the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship, including if it becomes impossible for them to win according to Bundesliga rules, such as through elimination in playoffs. The market resolves Other if the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, or if it is postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. The primary resolution source is official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
official information from the Bundesliga
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