Highest grossing movie in 2026?
14 live outcomes · highest priced: Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 96% · first close Jan 8, 2027 · $17.7M total volume
About this event
This event tracks which film will achieve the highest domestic calendar gross in 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific movie contender vying for the top-grossing spot of that year.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of one market per film contender. Because resolution is awarded exclusively to the single film with the highest 2026 domestic calendar gross (with alphabetical order breaking any exact tie), at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if its named film holds the highest 2026 domestic calendar gross listed in the Gross column on Box Office Mojo once data for December 31 is available. It resolves to No otherwise. Only earnings within the 2026 calendar year count. If there is an exact tie for highest gross, the film appearing first alphabetically is chosen. If final data is not available by January 7, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, another credible source will be selected.
Key dates
- Data availability fallback deadline: — If Box Office Mojo data is not available by this time, another credible source will be chosen.
Resolution source
Box Office Mojo
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 96% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 5% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| Dune: Messiah | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Wicked: For Good | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Wuthering Heights | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Scream 7 | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Michael | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Toy Story 5 | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| The Odyssey | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Project Hail Mary | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Jumanji 3 | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |