Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21?
Current price
78.5¢
+1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 78.5%
$1.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on whether Aston Villa wins during regular play plus stoppage time in their scheduled October 21, 2026 match. A precise hierarchy of sources is defined, starting with official governing body statistics and falling back to named sports data aggregators if needed. Cancellation, postponement, and time-frame constraints are explicitly accounted for without creating unexpected outcomes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If Aston Villa FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Aston Villa FC wins their match scheduled for October 21, 2026, considering only regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Aston Villa FC wins the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Aston Villa FC does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of conclusion, it resolves 50-50 (or Draw). The governing body or event organizers' official statistics decide the outcome, falling back to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting if official data is delayed.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date for which the match is scheduled
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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