Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$1.9M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market follows the official outcome of the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' Championship directly from official F1 information, including official tiebreak rules. Participants should note an early resolution clause: the market will resolve to 'No' prior to the end of the season if McLaren is mathematically eliminated from winning the title. In the event the 2026 season is permanently canceled or remains incomplete by March 31, 2027, the market is set to resolve to 'Other'.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether McLaren will win the Formula 1 Constructors' Championship for the 2026 season.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if McLaren wins the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, including by F1's tiebreak procedure if there is a tie. The market resolves to No if another team wins or if McLaren becomes mathematically eliminated from contention based on F1 rules. The market resolves to Other if the 2026 F1 season is permanently canceled or is not completed by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Information from F1 determines the outcome.
Key dates
- Season completion deadline: — Deadline for the 2026 F1 season to be completed before the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Information from F1
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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