Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?
Current price
7.5¢
Implied probability 7.5%
$6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the market resolves based on whether Viking FK wins the scheduled match in regular play plus stoppage time (90 minutes plus injury time). Clear fallback mechanisms exist for postponements and cancellations. The resolution sources follow a strict, ranked hierarchy starting with the governing body's official statistics, followed by specific secondary data providers (Flashscore, Sofascore) and consensus reporting if earlier sources fail. The rules also explicitly note that late revisions after settlement will not alter the outcome, leaving very little room for ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If Viking FK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Viking FK will win their scheduled soccer match on October 21, 2026, considering only regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Viking FK wins the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Viking FK does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. The market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable) if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion. Resolution is decided by the official statistics of the governing body or event organizers. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours, data from Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting will be used. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date the game is scheduled to take place.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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