Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-21?
Current price
6.5¢
Implied probability 6.5%
$800.6 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the market resolves to Yes only if FK Shakhtar Donetsk wins during regular play plus stoppage time, with extra time or penalties excluded. Draws or losses resolve to No, and an outright cancellation also resolves to No. Postponements leave the market open until completion. Resolution follows a clear hierarchy of sources, starting with the official governing body or event organizers, falling back to Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus reporting only if needed within specific time windows. Post-settlement score adjustments will not overturn the result, and a 24-hour timeout fallback to 50-50 applies if no data can be found.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If FK Shakhtar Donetsk wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether FK Shakhtar Donetsk will win their scheduled soccer match on October 21, 2026, based strictly on regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if FK Shakhtar Donetsk wins the game within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if FK Shakhtar Donetsk does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the match is completed. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable). Resolution is decided by the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting if needed.
Key dates
- Match date: — Scheduled date for the match
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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